Pattern probability profile
This panel shows how strongly the entered diagnoses match each multimorbidity pattern.
Sepsis risk over time
The chart below shows estimated sepsis risk at 1, 2, 5, 10, 15 years.
Estimated sepsis risk at each time point
About and methods

This calculator is designed to help clinicians and researchers summarize multimorbidity patterns from ICD-10 diagnoses and view the corresponding estimated sepsis risk over time.

Enter one person's ICD-10 codes in the input panel. BMI can also be added because obesity in this model is defined using BMI rather than ICD-10 alone. No entered information is intended to be stored as part of the calculation itself.

The pattern estimate is based on predefined multimorbidity features derived from the diagnoses entered into the calculator. The output shows how strongly the entered diagnoses match each multimorbidity pattern and highlights the most likely pattern.

Sepsis risk is estimated from time-to-event models that use the predicted multimorbidity pattern together with the clinical information provided in the form. Age, sex and race are required. When optional variables are not entered, the calculator automatically uses the matching model for the available information.

Townsend deprivation index is a UK area-level socioeconomic measure. It may be unavailable in many healthcare settings and should not be assumed to transfer directly to non-UK populations.

This tool accompanies the associated research article and should be cited together with that publication when used in manuscripts, reports or presentations.

The estimates are intended for risk stratification and research support. They do not establish a diagnosis, do not replace clinical judgment, and may not generalize equally well outside populations similar to the development dataset.